Temple football: At least one head needs to roll

Just when every Temple football fan thought we’d never sink to the depths of the Rod Carey Error, the Mariana Trench could not hold how far the program sank on Saturday.

Put it this way: Twice this season, Temple’s defense performed on a lower level than that of both Abilene Christian and Arkansas Pine-Bluff.

Much lower.

Lower than whale shit.

The Mariana Trench, near Guam and Saipan, is 36,000 feet under the surface of the earth–the lowest place near the center of the earth.

Temple Football Forever, March 17, 2023

Arguably, Temple’s defense was lower than that in a 45-14 loss at North Texas on Saturday.

You could make an argument that multiple heads need to roll but there can be no argument that one head needs to roll.

Everett Withers.

Withers inherited nine starters from a defense that didn’t wow anyone but did “hold” Navy to 20 points and Navy was a team that beat current Big 12 team UCF.

Withers also inherited the same players who “held” Tulsa to 29 points. That seems like a comical hold but not when you consider Withers took those same players and “held” Tulsa to 48 points less than a year later.

Temple Football Forever on Dec. 3, 2021–a dozen days BEFORE Stan Drayton was hired as head coach here.

How do Arkansas Pine-Bluff and Abilene Christian factor into this?

Well, APB held Tulsa to fewer points (42) than Temple did and Abilene Christian gave up the same number of points Temple did to North Texas.

Temple was a once-proud program. It is not that anymore. It cannot be dragged to the depths of Abilene Christian and Arkansas Pine-Bluff. It needs to rise to respect level of at least Syracuse, Maryland and Pitt.

You have to ask this question: How did Temple devolve from a team that beat Penn State in 2015 and Maryland in consecutive years (2018 and 2019) to a team that is performing on a worse level than Arkansas Pine-Bluff and Abilene Christian?

The answer is bad hires.

Stan Drayton’s hire looks very bad right now. Everett Withers’ hire looks much worse.

Drayton, to his credit, didn’t have a track record for being a head coach and maybe Arthur Johnson deserves a pass for that hire. Still, if you are a Temple person, you have to question a “Texas director of football operations” hiring a “Texas assistant coach” for the top job at 10th and Diamond.

Drayton himself does not deserve a pass for his hire of Everett Withers. Everyone in America knew Withers had a terrible record as a DC before Drayton hired him in March but for some reason nobody understands, Drayton looks at Withers like Travis Kelce looks at Taylor Swift.

Temple was trending nationally at 3:30 Saturday for all the wrong reasons.

Somebody needs an eye exam and it’s not Kelce. It’s not like Drayton doesn’t have good options. Chris Woods is a former USFL defensive coordinator and he’s working at 10th and Diamond now. He could not do worse than Withers and there’s a real good chance he could do much better.

If Drayton doesn’t fire Withers no later than Monday, he is telling you in as many words he cares more about long-term friendships than he does about Temple or his players or even you the fans.

If he tells you that, more than one head will need to roll and the sooner the better.

Monday: The Fix Is In

North Texas: The Eclipse Game

Sometime in the middle of the second quarter of Temple’s game at North Texas, a solar eclipse will darken at least 80 percent of the sun for maybe 17-29 minutes of the game.

It will be the first eclipse game in Temple football history. Maybe the eclipse changes the Owls’ fortunes. Maybe not. Think the Eagles at Chicago Bears’ “fog bowl” for a historical perspective.

Of all the games in the country, Temple will be the darkest game in the middle of the second quarter. I’m guessing they have science at North Texas and know this.

Gotta hope the folks at North Texas are aware of that and keep the lights on for the short time day becomes night in Denton.

Around that time, though, the light has to turn on for Temple football or this season is over.

Some people who do not wear Cherry and White glasses (see above video) believe in Temple here. The line has dropped from North Texas being an 8.5-point favorite (Monday) to a five-point favorite (today) and that means the “wise guys” are backing Temple.

The hard reality is that Temple will not be favored in another game this season unless the Owls are able to string two or three wins together.

Our picks this week.Logic is SDSU has much better coaches than Hawaii. Troy is a sneaky good team, the Charlotte kids play incredibly hard and the Iowa State loss at a good Ohio team was as fluky as it comes. For the season we are 8-8 against the spread and 16-8 overall.

This might have been what the “general public” expected but not what I expected listening to the glowing reports coming out of camp from March spring practice until the kickoff of the first game against Akron. We were told this was the best offensive line at Temple in years and all we’ve seen is that Isaac Moore’s blocking has been missed more than we thought and nobody can keep the bad guys away from E.J. Warner on any consistent basis. On top of that, we haven’t seen anything like Edward Saydee’s 254-yard game against USF last year and that’s a big indictment on the offensive line.

Worse, the defense had nine returning starters and a “normal” defensive coordinator replacement for the departed D.J. Eliot (Eagles) should have been able to post a shutout or two.

Instead, we got a friend of the boss (Stan Drayton) with a dismal record of stopping modern offenses coming into the season and he proved that old saying from Bill Parcells “you are what your record says you are.”

Everett Withers’ record screams “I suck” and has since 1985. (When he posted his last shutout as a DC.) Withers strikes me as a guy who punches the clock at 9 a.m. and punches out at 5 p.m. and if additional film study is needed at midnight to help his kids stop any future foes he just says “fuck it. I’m outta here.”

That, apparently, never bothered Drayton and he has reaped what he has sowed. He loves the guy evidently more than he loves Temple because it has not bothered him sufficiently enough to fire him after he gave up 48 points against Tulsa and 49 against UTSA. Blind spots will get you fired as a head coach and Drayton has a blind spot with Everett Withers.

I love Temple and if I was the Temple head coach, I would not have tolerated 48 and 49 point games from any defensive coach. Even given the hiring freeze by Temple, I would have told Withers he was free to go elsewhere and promoted a professional defensive coordinator (Chris Woods, USFL) to the top job.

A North Texas offense that has had success against any defense other than Navy last week figures to feast on Temple tomorrow (noon, ESPNU).

The only hope the Owls have is to outscore the Mean Green.

That is possible only if E.J. Warner’s replicates his five-touchdown, 472-yard performance against UTSA a week ago.

It figures to be a shootout. I’m guessing E.J. Warner has studied more North Texas defensive film than Withers has Mean Green offensive film.

Knowing E.J., I think that is a better bet and that’s sad because he’s not pulling down the half million Withers is stealing from Temple.

Temple 39, North Texas 35.

Let’s hope this is the start of something big. Failing that, something bigger than we’ve seen so far. In a 2-4 season, we’ve had enough of watching the Owls come up small.

Late Saturday Night: Game Analysis

Mid-Mortem reads like a post-mortem

Something I thought I’d never see again after Carey was chased out of town. Yikes.

Halfway through the season is about as good a time to gauge how the rest of the season is going to go.

The sample is not small anymore and few can accuse analysts of jumping to conclusions too soon.

Too early to declare the patient dead but early enough to take the temperature and it doesn’t look like this fever is going to break in the next two months. Maybe a miracle will happen and head coach Stan Drayton will say enough is enough on defense, make a coaching change and start turning things around.

Here’s what we know about the first six games of the Temple season:

Temple 24, Akron 21 _ The Owls entered that game double-digit favorites and were lucky to escape Lincoln Financial Field by the skin of their teeth. It was easily their best defensive effort of the season, shutting out the Zips in the second half. Really, though, in light of what’s happened to Akron, how impressive was it? NIU, not exactly a powerhouse (it lost to Southern Illinois) just put up 55 points on Akron, one week after Akron lost to an 0-4 Buffalo team. Verdict: About as unimpressive a win as there is on a FBS team resume.

D.J. Eliot put Layton Jordan in positions where he could have and did make plays like this all last year, a sack of the Rutgers’ quarterback. Too often, Everett Withers has Jordan dropping back in no-man’s-land on pass coverage and not sicking him on the bad guys’ quarterback, where he can cause havoc plays like forced fumbles.

Rutgers 36, Temple 7 _ Owls hung in there as late as the fourth quarter, scoring a touchdown early to make it 13-7 but a huge red flag was that they allowed the nation’s current 110th-ranked offense to run all over them in the final dozen minutes of the game. Another one was the slow start of their own offense, as the coaching staff allowed a quarterback who produced zero points at halftime to take the keys to the offense in the second half. The third quarter fared no better for the Owls’ offense. Verdict: After playing this same team to a 16-14 loss a year ago, improvement to a win was not asking for much considering that head coach Stan Drayton himself said the 2023 version of Temple would be better than the 2022 one.

Temple 41, Norfolk State 9 _ The Owls entered the game as a 32-point favorite and won by that exact amount. Nothing to brag about because Norfolk State had lost to a Division II (not even FCS) team, Virginia State, earlier. Since then, Norfolk State allowed North Carolina A&T to get its first win of the season. Verdict: Owls should never have scheduled this team.

Miami 41, Temple 7 _ The Hurricanes’ recruiting pedigree was on display in this game as their lines overwhelmed the Owls on both sides of the ball. After the game, Drayton said “we hope to one day recruit players like them.” Yet this same Hurricane team lost on Saturday to a Georgia Tech team that lost to Bowling Green and former Owls’ OC Scot Loeffler. After beating Georgia Tech, Loeffler didn’t say “we hope one day to recruit people like them.” He just figured out a way to get his guys to beat those guys. After that game, Georgia Tech coach Brent Key fired his defensive coordinator and was rewarded with a win at Miami. Maybe Drayton will pick up on that clue. All over college football there are examples of less talented teams beating more talented teams. Why hasn’t that happened with Temple since Geoff Collins beat No. 17 Cincinnati? Verdict: Even as 24-point underdogs, the Owls underperformed.

Even “Wager Talk” apparently knows more about hiring than Stan Drayton

Tulsa 48, Temple 26 _ It’s one thing to allow 48 points to a Tulsa team that scored only 10 against Washington and 17 against Oklahoma. It’s another thing to allow 48 points to a Tulsa team that was only able to score 22 on NIU. Hell, even Arkansas Pine-Bluff’s defense allowed fewer points to Tulsa than Temple’s defense. Not “regular Arkansas” or even Arkansas State but Arkansas Freaking Pine-Bluff. Verdict: A complete and utter embarrassment.

UTSA 49, Temple 34 _ The offense for a change played well except for two fumbles that turned into 14 points the other way, but when you put up 34 in a college football game a normal team should expect to win that game. You shouldn’t have to play perfect offensive football to have a chance to win a game but, with Everett Withers in charge, that’s what this season has been reduced to unfortunately. Verdict: Expect more games to come unless a change is made at the top of Temple’s defense.

After a year where the Owls’ defense played like mad crazed dogs in losses to Rutgers and at Navy, there are no mad crazed dogs in sight on defense. Strange, because the same players are out there and the only difference is the defensive leadership.

Friday: North Texas Preview

Homecoming Must: Urgency to Win

UTSA coach Jeff Traylor pretty much tells you he’s not concerned with Temple here. Owls should take it as an insult.

Maybe it’s me, maybe it’s something else, but the way the Temple football Owls performed at the end of last season gave me significant hope for this season.

That’s pretty much all gone now.

At the end of the season, I wrote on this site that if the Owls got me a great running back from the portal (Western Michigan’s Sean Ryan and Ball State’s Carson Steele to name two) and two great FCS defensive ends to replace Darian Varner, the Owls were off and running not only to 8-4 but a possible AAC title.

Not having done any of that we recalibrated those expectations down to 6-6.

Stan Drayton needs to have a quick hook if E.J. produces zero or three points at the half again.

Now, with the biggest home game of the season less than 24 hours away (2 p.m., ESPN+), we might have to lower even those expectations.

Why?

The most disappointing thing about this 2-3 season so far is not the loss to Tulsa but the lack of urgency to win from this coaching staff.

I had us 3-2 at this point, not 2-3. Had the losses to RU and Miami but the loss to Tulsa came out of nowhere.

If this coaching staff really, really deep down inside had the urgency to win, they would not have handed the keys to the offense back to the driver who drove them into a ditch in the first half at Rutgers. After giving me 46 against ECU and 35 against Houston, no points there should have been a huge red flag.

If this staff really wanted to win, what was the same guy doing in the game down, 21-3, at half to a team that gave up 66 to Oklahoma and 43 to Washington and why were they allowing that to happen? I don’t get it.

They rolled the same guy out there expecting him to overcome a 21-3 deficit when it’s quite obvious he can’t move the sticks by running if a play breaks down or if he gets any pressure.

As the kids say today, “WTF?”

That cannot be allowed to happen. It just can’t. Next man up.

Our picks this week: Rutgers getting the 13.5 at Wisconsin, and the above four games, Rice blowing out UConn by more than 10, Texas State beating Louisiana, South Florida beating UAB by at least a FG and TCU winning at Iowa State. Season: 20-7 overall, 8-4 against the spread.

If the Owls only had a promising freshman from Ocean City, N.J., I can understand that. But they have a guy in the fold who not only beat North Carolina but engineered 47 points on them. They have a dynamic backup quarterback who can both run and throw.

Nothing would please me more than to see E.J. Warner turn the first-half scoreboard into adding machine against UTSA and, say, give the Owls a 31-14 lead at halftime.

Failing that, though, this staff has to show me inertia is not their middle name and show me another word that hasn’t been in their dictionary all season.

Urgency.

Get him out of there and at least show the fans you are trying to win by getting Quincy Patterson in there to create plays and move the ball not just with his arm but his feet.

Rally the defense and special teams around him.

Don’t wait to win.

Win now.

Or that biggest crowd of the season won’t come back this year or maybe even next.

Sunday: UTSA analysis

The Indiana Football Curse Strikes Again

Everett Withers could be the greatest friend and the nicest guy in the world but he has been complete garbage as a DC for FIU and now for Temple. He’s killing Stan Drayton. He needs to go like yesterday.

Many things can be true at once.

For Temple, the four truthers in a 48-26 football loss at Tulsa on Thursday night at Tulsa were:

One, defensive coordinator Everett Withers can’t stop a nosebleed. We already knew that.

Two, E.J. Warner’s sophomore slump is official. We “kinda sorta” expected that before this but it is now confirmed.

Three, Temple should avoid hiring buddies as football coaches.

Looks like Pat Kraft hired the wrong Indiana football coach.

Four, and maybe most importantly, The Indiana Football Curse struck again.

A former Indiana football person once again killed Temple.

Kevin Wilson, the Indiana head coach from 2011-2016, coached the pants off Stan Drayton. Wilson joins former Indiana player (and current Indiana quality control coach) Rod Carey as killing any Temple football hopes. Carey’s accomplice was former Temple AD Pat Kraft who could have hired anyone but chose his fellow Indiana alum. He picked the wrong Indiana guy.

The first and third killers are directly related because Withers is a buddy of Drayton and hiring buddies is a proven disaster at Temple. What was that Peter, Paul and Mary song? “When will they ever learn?”

Bill Bradshaw hired his buddy (Fran Dunphy) and that didn’t work out.

Kraft hired his buddy (Rod Carey) and that didn’t work out.

Arthur Johnson hired his buddy (Stan Drayton) and that doesn’t appear to be working out.

Stan Drayton hired his buddy (Everett Withers) and that has definitely not worked out. We saw that coming a mile away if you count St. Patrick’s Day as a mile.

Let’s sift through the resumes and hire the best person for the job and abandon this buddy system. That, unfortunately, is a hard lesson to learn and the Owls’ football program maybe has run out of time. When you have a bean-counting BOT that doesn’t even think painting the field is worth it, can the program itself be that far behind?

Our picks this week. As long as Withers is the DC, it’s money in the bank to pick against Temple.

Very little hiring oversight at Temple and that is showing through on national television.

As a result, a once-proud Temple football program is a national laughingstock. It pains me to say that but the evidence was there on Thursday night for any TV in any bar in America that was tuned into this game. (My guess it was on one TV in the far corner of every one while the NFL game was on every other TV.)

A 2-2 start to a season that started with so much promise pretty much ended on Thursday night. You can’t lose to a team that lost games by 66-17 and 43-10 no matter how good the teams that had the 66 and the 43 were.

This “Waiting for Warner” to be as good as he was last year needs to stop. Anybody who was shut out in the first three quarters by Rutgers and held to three points in the first half by a horrible Tulsa defense is just not good enough for Temple going forward. Stop babying him and worrying about him leaving. If he’s not turning the scoreboard into an adding machine, and he’s not, he needs to sit.

Quincy Patterson needs a shot from the beginning and not just in garbage time. He’s a big guy who, unlike Warner, can see over defenses and, also unlike Warner, can take off and run and do some damage should the play break down.

That’s probably the only thing to look forward to in the future. That, and discovering if Stan Drayton has the gonads to fire a friend for the overall advancement of the organization. That’s what great CEOs are able to do. Unfortunately, I very much doubt it.

For now, the reality is that the Indiana football curse struck Temple again and, ironically, Pat Kraft hired the wrong buddy.

Update on picks: Went 12-3 this weekend. Since they were all on the moneyline, going to keep those separate from my 8-4 against the spread in the previous two weeks.

Season: 20-7 overall

Spread: 8-4

Monday: Tweaking A Recruiting Model

Friday: Sense of Urgency

Miami-Temple was sign of changing times

Had a conversion with a really good Temple fan in the parking lot on Saturday before the Miami vs. Temple game.

Told him I was really considering entering the fan transfer portal not from my beloved Temple–which I will always be a fan of–but to the NFL.

The reason was this NIL and transfer portal nonsense.

The big schools, who already have all the recruiting advantages, have now taken the sublime to the ridiculous where they not only already have the best recruits but now take away the players who the lesser teams have put sweat and toil into recruiting and coaching up. Players have no loyalty to the school that made them what they were and move on the next best thing. Schools with the wad of cash basically pick and choose who they want when they want. Screw the little guy. Trickle down economics? LOL. Jordan Addison was the national receiver of the year at Pitt and would have still been drafted in the first round if he stayed there but for some reason ($$$$) saw fit to spend his final year at USC. Dillon Gabriel was a perfectly good quarterback at UCF but had wandering eyes for Oklahoma. Most Temple players who leave learn the hard way they left a starting position at Temple to ride the pine elsewhere (see Jadan Blue and Darian Varner).

Tulsa fans were really excited to host rival Oklahoma until they realized they bought all the good players.

It’s really the opposite of the NFL where the organization gives a helping hand to the lowest of its group in the form of the draft with the idea being the entire business model benefits from everyone having an equal chance to succeed.

College football today is like a billionaire walking along skid row and pickpocketing whatever loose change the downtrodden have.

It’s going to get worse.

Mentioned to this gentleman that in past years I would have hopes of Temple springing the upset of Miami but held no such belief this year because the system is stacked against the Temples of the world and all of the G5. Sat next to him in the stands when Temple won at Maryland, 38-7, and that was a really fun day.

I want those days to come back. I’m not sure they ever will.

Unless someone (Congress, Courts, a strong NCAA governing body) can come in and give all 130 FBS schools an equal chance, I could see my interest waning in the so-called “amateur” side of football. The NCAA gave SMU the “death penalty” in 1987 for what pretty much is standard operating procedure in 2023.

The great Temple fan made a very good point.

“I live a mile from Lincoln (College) and I think I’m going to go see them more and forget about this,” he said.

I said I don’t blame him. I’m pretty sure a lot of G5 fans feel the same way.

That got me to thinking.

Why don’t the players from Lincoln get paid? Or West Chester? They put in the same work to be good that the players from Miami do. They play for the love of the game.

It’s a really skewed, unfair system and, because it has become more skewed in the past five years.

Gone are the days when a Temple can upset Virginia Tech and an Appalachian State can beat Michigan and those types of upsets are what made college football great. Those types of upsets still exist in March Madness but who knows for how long?

Now when a big-time P5 team plays a G5 team you pretty much know the outcome.

Temple lost to its P5 foes, 36-7, and 41-7. That didn’t use to be the case all that long ago. Temple beat Penn State, 27-10, one year and the next traveled up to Penn State to lose by one touchdown to the evenutal Big 10 champion. In years past, the Owls beat an SEC team 37-7 (Vanderbilt) and three times beat Maryland (38-7, 35-14 and 20-17). They played the No. 9 team in the country (Notre Dame) to a virtual standoff in 2015 before the largest prime time TV watching crowd in the history of the fourth-largest market.

Are those days over?

Probably.

The team Temple plays on Thursday night, Tulsa, lost to Oklahoma (66-17) and Washington (43-10).

It says something about how the nation views Temple football that TULSA–even after losses like that–is favored by 3 1/2 points over Temple. The Owls should take that as an insult but I’m not all that sure they will.

Temple has to do something to lift itself out of this morass and there doesn’t seem to be a solution in sight other than to win as many games as it can playing against a stacked deck.

The fact that Tulsa also has been dealt the same hand is small consolation.

Friday: Tulsa Recap

Temple Football: Nothing special (yet)

After four games, Temple football is just about what everybody said they were a couple of months ago.

Two and two with the final eight games being the determining factor of the season. If the Owls do well, they could play 10 more games.

Disheartening, yes, because with the way the Owls and E.J. Warner finished a year ago (roughly 500 yards passing in the last couple of games against bowl teams), there was hope for a better start.

If Warner hit the ground running, he would not have gotten shut out in the first three quarters against Rutgers and he would have been able to put more than a score on the board against Miami. He would have put up a 40 burger on Akron.

E.J. Warner is playing more like 157-year-old Pop Warner than the E.J. we saw at the end of last season.

None of that happened.

Instead of hitting the ground running, he’s just hit the ground. Somebody needs to pick him up or Quincy Patterson should be warming up on the sidelines. Championship college football teams have quarterbacks who can run as well as they pass. Temple can get away with being one-dimensional only if the immobile quarterback throws 300+ with about 3-5 TD passes every game.

That hasn’t happened for Temple. Time for a sense of urgency with this program.

Maybe it’s too early to declare sophomore slump but there hasn’t been a natural progression from games 11 and 12 of last year to 1-4 of this one.

That needs to change starting Thursday night.

Nobody expected to beat Miami but a win over a RU team that the Owls lost to 16-14 a year ago would have been tangible proof that this was a better team than the one Temple fielded a year ago.

Now it’s an open question.

Warner gets a Mulligan for the Miami game because this is a team that is capable of winning the national championship. I was invited to go on a Miami fan call-in show Friday night and told them the Canes would probably win 35-21. I really believe that would have been the score if Temple played to its potential. It did not. There is no disgrace for losing to Miami 41-7 yet there is a nagging annoyance that Temple did not play that team significantly better than Bethune-Cookman did. Really annoyed that good guy Jordan Smith was open by 10 yards in the end zone and Warner threw it right to the numbers of the only bad guy the same number of yards away. That said, I would not be surprised if Miami was in the Final Four and won the whole damn thing.

Beating Miami, though, was never the goal of this season.

Winning the AAC championship at the maximum or at least making a bowl game was.

Nothing the Owls have done through four games indicates the former and even Temple homer radio seems to agree. I left the game so disgusted about the Owls being uncompetitive that I sat back in my car to warm up. Holding the steering wheel while reaching for the heater I turned on the radio and heard Temple play-by-play guy Kevin Copp tell analyst Paul Palmer this: “The idea is to get to six wins however you need to do it.”

Huh?

We will find out if those words are flowery platitudes or have substance by late Thursday night.

Now the goal is six freaking wins for a program that used to win eight on a regular basis for the decade between 2009-2019? Yippee. “We’re No. 80!” From playing in consecutive AAC championships, beating Penn State, Maryland (three times, 38-7, 35-14 and 20-17), and Vandy (37-7) to fighting for that No. 80 spot of 130 teams.

No thanks.

That’s not what Stan Drayton has said since the end of last year.

He said the goal is to win the AAC championship. If you can’t beat a Tulsa team that lost to Washington, 43-10, you don’t deserve to win an AAC championship. Guys need to play to the stats they put on the sheet last year, especially at the most important positions on the team.

By 11 p.m. Thursday night, we will find out if Drayton’s goal is within reach or the Owls will have to struggle, scratch, crawl and, yes, SETTLE to reach Copp’s minimalist goal.

Update on picks: Went 5-1 against the spread Saturday with the only loss being Memphis at Missouri. Correctly picked the Oregon blowout of Colorado, Marshall covering the five against VT, and Duke blowing out UConn in the key games.

Week: 5-1

Season: 8-4

Monday: College Football in Nutshell

Friday: Tulsa Recap

Biggest worry of the season: Big Bodies

This $10 million addition to the E-O was built to win titles and not to lose to an FCS team.

Normally in this space on every Friday of the football season you will read a “real” preview of the next day’s game.

No such preview is needed today.

If my beloved Temple football Owls don’t take care of business and destroy Norfolk State, there is no reason to open up the Edberg Olson Football Complex on Monday. The university spent $7 million to build that complex in 2005 and $10 more million on improvements five years later to win FBS titles, not to lose to an FCS team.

Daz hugs Bill Bradshaw after beating Maryland 37-7 in 2011. These are the kinds of games Temple needs to schedule and win.

The reasoning is simple: Any team who loses to Marshall 55-3 and James Madison 63-7 last year deserves to lose to Temple by 48-7 or worse this one.

If we are not getting that kind of business done we should not be in this kind of business.

I will not be at the game because I’ve said for years that Temple should not be playing FCS teams and I will not pay a dime to see Temple play those teams. We will be back in attendance against Miami (9/23, 3:30) and hope to run into a lot of Temple fans there. (Aside to KJ–we’re no longer in that corner you saw us a couple of years ago, we are now alongside the primo row where the team walks into the game. Thank you, Arthur Johnson.)

Really convinced FIU will win outright over a UConn team that loses its starting QB for the season. NIU would have passed the eye test with the win over BC but the loss to SIU was the last straw. Akron passed the eye test for me against Temple so should not lose by 30 to Kentucky. NW’s 38-7 win over a decent UTEP team sold me on the Wildcats.

This Saturday, though, this 40+ year Owl fan will be watching from home (ESPN+, 2 p.m.) tomorrow and I am confident we will be able to deliver on this site a decent post-game report.

Temple’s main goal should be getting into a P5 conference and beating FCS teams does nothing to advance that goal. Scheduling and beating P5 teams does advance the football in that direction. The Owls beat Vanderbilt, 37-7, in 2014. They beat Penn State 27-10 in 2015. They beat Maryland 35-14 in 2018 and 20-17 in 2019. Those are the kinds of games they need to schedule and win.

Meanwhile, more pressing issues are at hand.

The biggest worry of the season is what we saw in the first few games: Temple is running out of big bodies on the offensive and defensive lines.

The Owls defensive line in particular got worn down in the fourth quarter at Rutgers, where a less-than-mediocre Big 10 team was able to score 23-straight points on them. Blowing that possible win really hurt.

Who to blame?

Certainly, the current staff is first in line. They should have known the Owls needed a lot more big bodies in the program that they were able to attract in the transfer portal. They should have over-recruited like an airline overbooks but didn’t.

Will it come back to bite them?

Geez, I hope not.

A possible fix that might work is a 3-5-3 defense–two DEs, a nose guard, five LBS (which we have plenty of) and three DBs.

Meanwhile, say a prayer that no one gets hurt along either line until after the AAC championship game is over in December.

If those prayers are answered, the Owls have a shot at being in that game.

If not, 6-6 will be a monumental struggle.

Let’s beat Norfolk State like a drum, go to the 3-5-3 defense and hope for the best.

Picks: Started out slow (3-3 against the spread). Would have definitely been 4-2 had Michael Pratt of Tulane played against Mississippi State. This week’s picks are above.

When you schedule Norfolk State, you don’t appear on “regular” TV. The Akron-Kentucky and VT-Rutgers games should be of particular interest to Temple fans. Owls are on ESPN+ at 2 p.m.

Sunday: Game Analysis

Here’s a Thought: Have Quincy Patterson pass

Go through just about every single thread on the Rutgers’ fan base board and you will find a lot of predictions.

I found three to be particularly amusing:

Rutgers, 69-0. Rutgers 51-3 and, lastly but by no means least, Rutgers, 92-3. Not a single one picked Temple to win.

Rutgers’ fans full of themselves?

Shocked I tell ya. Shocked.

It’s pretty much the Mets’ fanbase of college football. They think their team is a whole lot better than it is.

Always have. Always will.

I do remember a game where I had a transistor radio in one hand and my program in the other walking into Rutgers Stadium in the otherwise regrettable Bobby Wallace Error.

Listening to the pre-game show, I heard the Rutgers’ color guy tell the Rutgers’ play-by-play guy this: “Let’s face it: Rutgers should never lose to Temple.”

“Who the hell do they think they are?” I thought, almost tossing my radio along the road.

Temple won that game, 48-14, and the quarterback for the Owls, Mike Frost, became a successful bartender on campus and later head manager of the Draught Horse.

A couple of years later, Temple was kicked out of the Big East for “non-competitiveness” but a less competitive team, Rutgers–who the Owls had beaten four-straight years–was allowed to stay.

After that announcement, Temple beat Rutgers 20-17, on a Cap Poklemba field goal in the rain and that was a night when a terrific back named Tanardo Sharps ran 48 times for 246 yards. Once that game was over, the entire 55-man Owl traveling team went over and danced on the Rutgers’ Big East logo and sang “T for Temple U.” Joe Klecko and I tailgated with a small group of our friends before and after.

The beers never tasted better.

Now Temple plays Rutgers tomorrow (7:30 p.m., Big 10 Network) and a lot of those same assumptions are still in place.

Temple should never beat Rutgers (according to RU fans) despite the fact that Temple hung with two teams arguably better than RU in the final games of last season, Houston (42-35) and ECU (49-46). Owls lost both games in the last 1:22 but probably should have won both. At the same time, Rutgers was being beaten up by Penn State (55-10) and Maryland (37-0).

Yes, the same Penn State program that lost, 27-10, to Temple in 2015 and the same Maryland program that lost to Temple in consecutive pre-Covid seasons, 35-14 (in College Park) and 20-17. That last Temple win over the Terps came in the same year Maryland beat RU, 48-7.

But Rutgers should never lose to Temple. Right.

Beginning our official picks this week against the spread. Really like a Cincy team that put up 66 on Eastern Kentucky over a Pitt team that scored 45 on a worse Wofford team.

We do know two more things: Both Temple and Rutgers have highly paid professional coaches who have studied the tendencies of the opposite team so much that they are ready.

The team that throws a wrench into those preparations by showing the bad guys something they haven’t seen is probably the one that will win.

Throws being the operative word and Temple being that team.

If there has been one predictable pattern about the Owls for the last two years, it has been whenever backup quarterback Quincy Patterson comes into the game it’s almost always on short yardage situations and it pretty much is a run on every play call. Patterson always comes in about four plays a game and those four plays are always short-yardage runs.

That hasn’t fooled many people.

The one time Temple was courageous enough to break that pattern, Quincy threw a jump pass to the tight end for a touchdown in a 49-46 loss to bowl-bound East Carolina in the final game of last season. Temple head coach Stan Drayton has praised Patterson for the last nine months by saying his passing game has improved substantially. It’s time to let that baby exit the birth canal and for Stan to put his -8.5 money where his mouth is.

In order to beat a team like RU, Temple is going to have to show Greg Schiano what he hasn’t seen on film and what he has seen so far is a Patterson run. He hasn’t seen Patterson put that ball in the belly of a running back, pull it out and toss it downfield for six.

In a game where the line is single digits, a simple thing like a couple of well-timed Patterson passes in short yardage could be enough to put Temple over the top.

Any other surprises will have to be cooked up by the Temple coaches. They know what they’ve shown Schiano on tape so far. The more new wrinkles they show the better their chances will be.

Sunday: Game Analysis

5 Takeaways From Opening Day

Watched the complete post-game press conference from Stan Drayton and will say one thing about the guy.

He was a lot happier with a 24-21 win than I would have been if I was a head coach.

Pretty hard for me to stomach that freaking Rod Carey, with inferior talent, can beat Akron, 45-24, and Drayton can’t.

Win and advance, I guess that’s the philosophy but I will say this: IF I’m Rutgers (and thank God I’ve never been Rutgers), I would not be concerned with Temple right now.

Hell, if I’m Temple–and I’ve been Temple all my life–I am so unconvinced that Temple will win this next game that I’ve canceled my trip to Piscataway next week.

Prove me wrong, Stan and the Owls.

The logic simply is this: If you can only beat a 2-10 MAC team, 24-21, you are not going to beat a Big 10 team no matter what kind of Big 10 team that is.

Five other takeaways:

The Edward Saydee wearing No. 2 looked a lot like the Edward Saydee wearing No. 23.

One, where was Edward Saydee? All offseason, we heard that Saydee improved so much that he could be a dominant back for the Owls. What we saw was what we saw last year. He had a hard time getting past the first guy who hit him. Darvon Hubbard did just a little better. Let’s see what No. 24 (Joquez Smith) can do next game. The kid deserves a shot.

Two, E.J. Warner was the Lafayette Warner not the ECU one . If you thought Warner was going to resume what he did in the last game (574 yards, 5TDs) against East Carolina, think again. He was closer to the game manager he turned out to be in his first extended duty against Lafayette and not the confident difference-maker he was against ECU. He needs to be that difference-maker at RU, throwing the ball deep to set up the intermediate stuff. He did not throw it deep nearly enough. The way to fix E.J.? Throw the bomb. Put some fear in the defense. Temple tried zero bombs against Akron.

Three, the longest line since Notre Dame turned into a dud. _ Plenty of Temple fans in the parking lot but my friend Mark correctly said: “They aren’t going into the game.” Must have been only one open window because I remarked to former Temple bowl-winning quarterback Chris Coyer “this is the longest line I’ve seen going into the game since Notre Dame.” Disgraceful crowd of 12,456. Winning cures everything and one win over Akron isn’t going to hit that sweet spot.

A win is a win but the Owls need to throw some bombs to open up the offense enough to beat Rutgers. There will be no short passing game without that threat.

Four, Layton Jordan showed up when he needed to _ Jordan, who in my mind is the best football player on the team, got the key sack of a 14-0 Temple second half. Shocked he didn’t get a single digit. If he makes plays to beat Rutgers, he deserves one.

Five, nobody expected to beat Akron by 30 _ One of my comments pre-game was that “I’d settle for a 30-24 win.” Why? Like Temple, the light turned on for Akron in the last two games of 2022. One was a 44-12 win over perennial MAC power Northern Illinois. The other was a one-point loss to a bowl team, Buffalo, 23-22.

This wasn’t Wagner or Bucknell or Delaware State or Stony Brook. This was a real team with a great head coach and the good guys won while, at the same time, lowering the expectations for Temple fans down the road.

Rutgers will walk into next week expecting an easy win. If what the Owls did today sets the trap better than a 55-13 win over Akron would have, I will sign for it.

Not expecting it, but someone hand me a pen.

Monday: Know Your Foe