Temple recruiting: A risky strategy

Antwain Littleton II after being the No. 1 reason why Maryland beat Michigan State.

Are the Temple coaches playing five-dimensional chess while the rest of the AAC plays checkers?

Geez, you’ve got to hope so.

Masterman, a Public League magnet school located only a few blocks south of Temple, fields a perennial national chess powerhouse but a lot of those kids would be hard-pressed to figure out Temple’s next move on the AAC recruiting board.

On the surface, it looks like Stan Drayton’s “plan” was to recruit a lot of JUCOs to fill holes–namely on both sides of the line–and sprinkle a P5 transfer here and there.

Meanwhile, the rest of the AAC is filling their holes with accomplished P5 and FCS transfers and, in the case of Rice, stealing a big-time quarterback from a fellow league member.

It appears Temple has replaced that big-time quarterback with a game manager.

Looks like the rest of the AAC has their strategy in a row and Temple is all over the map but maybe, just maybe, this unusual plan works.

If it does, it will look something like this:

Antwain Littleton, the sprinkle P5 transfer, will have a breakout year behind a lot of accomplished JUCO transfers and Temple holdovers looking to prove people wrong.

With a running game for the first time since NFL draft pick Ray Davis was here, Rutgers’ transfer QB Evan Simon becomes a game-manager and hits an explosive downfield play-action pass here and there to keep the defense on their heels. Maybe Simon is tall enough to see over defenses and avoid those pesky Pick 6s that caused the Owls losses at USF and at home to Rutgers in recent years.

He certainly doesn’t have the high ceiling E.J. Warner had here but he might not have to if Littleton runs over the AAC.

On defense, the Owls’ go two-deep on the line for the first time since D.J. Eliot was here and get after the passer enough to cause turnovers. Temple was last in the nation in turnover ratio last year and moving up just to the middle of the pack will make the defense twice as good.

Nobody expects Temple to go from a three-win season to a nine-win season but going from three to six should be doable no matter how risky the strategy looks now.

Stan Drayton, it’s your move.

Friday: Historical Perspective

Late Signing Day: Rolling the dice

The exacta in the eighth race at Gulfstream on Thursday paid a cool $898 for a $2 bet because a couple of 30-1 shots finished first and second.

Dot and Twirling Queen.

You have to be a pretty brave gambler to go against the chalk and pluck a $2 bill on that pair but it paid off.

The Daily Racing Form’s Youtube analysis of that race totally missed those two horses and went so chalky a bar of Coast soap might not be enough to remove all the white substance from the hands of analysts Dan Ullman and Mike Beer.

Stan Drayton and his Temple football staff rolled the dice in a similar fashion on the “real signing day” with mostly 30-1 shots while the bluebloods of the college football world were using chalk on to sign national letters-of-intent.

That was really out of necessity because Temple doesn’t have the money to compete with for 4* recruits, let alone 5* ones.

Still, they reached for the stars and got a couple and that was pretty impressive on its own.

You can really say his two chalk bets probably will help the Owls more, but there are a lot of Dots and Twirling Queens to connect with the other signees.

To me, the two chalk guys will be starters and impact players for the Owls at positions of need.

As good as E.J. Warner was, and we think he will do very well at Rice, Cliffton McDowell–in our humble opinion–will be an upgrade over the son of a Super Bowl winner. He’s a proven championship-level quarterback. Warner, for all the good things he did here, was 6-15.

Could you imagine TU putting this guy at fullback as a lead blocker for Joquez Smith and playing a shell game with the defense by handing him the ball half the time? That’s the definition of Temple TUFF.

Put it this way: I will take McDowell’s 17 touchdown passes and four interceptions at Montana (a better team than Temple) from 2023 over Warner’s 23 and 14 in the same year at Temple (duh, a worse team than Montana). I will pluck a $2 exacta bet with McDowell and incoming Big 10 running back Antwain Littleton II over the Warner/Saydee combo.

I will bet Temple makes a lot more third-and-ones in 2024 than it did in 2023.

It looks like Stan Drayton and company are making the same bet.

The AAC college football return on that exacta might not be $898 but it certainly could push the needle toward six wins and that would be enough for Drayton to keep his cushy $2.5 million job at Temple. More importantly, it will keep the BOT bean counters away from Temple football in general.

Temple needs more than McDowell and Littleton and that’s where the 30-1 shots come into play.

The Owls did this year what they should have done last year and that was to shore up both lines.

Last year, because the Owls left three scholarships on the table, they were forced to start two true freshmen on the offensive line and one true freshman on the defensive line and that’s never a good sign. As a result, Warner ran for his life on most Saturdays and was knocked out on two of them and his parents thought his chances of getting killed on a football field far exceeded his chances of being harmed anywhere near Broad and Norris.

The pesky thing about recruiting is that those other teams are improving, too, according to Scout.com

What did Drayton do Wednesday?

Overbook both lines so much that the Owls now have 92 players under scholarship when they have only 85 to give. They are booking on turnover in the age of the transfer portal and might have to Grey shirt some players to make room.

That’s OK because the Owls will not have to rely on true freshmen to start. They averaged 6-2, 265 across the offensive line last season with those two true freshmen in the mix. Now they will average 6-4, 288 across the offensive front and 6-3, 268 over the defensive front and that’s considerably more bulk. Additionally, they will have at the minimum JUCO starter experience over high school starter experience and that should show on the field.

They won’t be competitive against Oklahoma on Aug. 31, that’s a given.

BUT … and this is a big but … they were competitive with all of their flaws against a USF team that beat Syracuse 45-0 and those are the games this kind of recruiting was built to turn around. Temple lost to USF only because a player who is no longer here hit a guy out of bounds. That same USF team blew out a bowl-bound ACC team, Syracuse.

With the right players, Temple is not all that far away.

Hitting the McDowell/Littleton exacta plus finding some gems underneath for tri and super bets could mean the Owls get the bowl game they should have had a year ago.

Cashing in at the AAC football window would be a lot sweeter than anything Gulfstream or Parx has to offer.

Monday: The Rest of The Story

Friday: Coaching Additions

Monday (2/19): Spring Practice Priorities