Optimism, pessimism, and somewhere in between

Bill Connelly was right on the money here.

After picking up all of the preseason college football magazines and seeing the Temple football Owls picked for near the bottom of the league the last few years, something stands out this year.

There is more optimism than pessimism for the Owls’ chances in the reformed AAC with the truth probably resting somewhere in between.

Connelly’s breakdown of the top of the league this year. He has the Owls finishing ahead of a team that has tormented them recently, East Carolina.

The Owls were picked as high as fourth in the league by the website “Underdog Dynasty” and as low as eighth by Athlon Sports.

The in-between part–where I kind of think the truth lies–belongs to ESPN and numbers cruncher extraordinaire Bill Connelly, who has the Owls tabbed for sixth.

Stan Drayton really rolled the dice bringing back his old buddy Everett Withers to be the DC.

Pretty impressive because in my mind, at least when it comes to the Owls, Connelly has a pretty good track record.

He was the ONLY outsider who, in 2019, picked Temple to beat Maryland and the Owls won that game, 20-17. How impressive was that pick? The week before Maryland had dropped 60 on the No. 21-ranked team, Syracuse, and entered the game at Temple ranked No. 23.

If Connelly is right about the Owls, they will finish sixth in the league standings this year and go bowling for the first time since that Maryland prediction. Connelly, unlike Athlon does his homework. (Athlon had Layton Jordan transferring to Wisconsin. Jordan is still here. Darien Varner is the DE gone to Wisconsin.)

This is what he writes about Temple: “Temple has gone just 7-24 over the past three seasons, with an average SP+ ranking of 114.3, but the Owls not only return a healthy amount of experience but also take on the easiest schedule in the AAC; SP+ gives them a 59% chance of bowling for the first time in four years.”

I will take 59 percent over the zero percent I saw over the last three years.

I personally would love for the Owls to win the league title but they haven’t significantly improved a porous running game that held them back last year and there are some questions about the new defensive coordinator, even though seven starters return on that side of the ball.

Victor Stoffel is the only offensive lineman with significant playing time returning although a strong argument can be made from a sheer talent level that the OL coming in is more talented than the one going out.

We’ll see.

Of course, as fans, we root for optimism over pessimism but, at least this year, somewhere in between offers a tangible reward at the end of the Cherry and White rainbow.

Friday: What Could Go Wrong?

Monday: What Could Go Right?