Now’s the time to predict 2026: A one-game improvement

I can’t believe Parker Navarro is still in the portal but I know Temple is the perfect place for him.

Going into this transfer portal season we outlined the “type” of quarterback Temple needed to get in order to compete for the American Conference championship.

That quarterback was an FCS superstar or a capable “star” FBS quarterback looking for a tick up in competition.

Temple, for all of its transfer portal successes, failed to get that guy. Instead, they got a couple of guys who only proved that they couldn’t get on the field for P4-type teams. Not only didn’t they get a proven FBS starter, but in terms of receipts, they didn’t get someone with the pedigree of Evan Simon (starter at Rutgers) nor Gevani McCoy (starter at Oregon State), last year’s 1-2 punch.

So while they improved at a lot of positions they regressed at the most important position on the field.

Not good.

So, sadly, I don’t see the Owls competing for an American Conference title but there is room for improvement and I do see the Owls improving incrementally.

At my age, that isn’t fast enough but I will take the small wins when I can get them.

Why are we not waiting until May? It looks like all the players are in place now and they will compete only against themselves between now and Cherry and White Day.

Parker Navarro, a quarterback who does fit all the qualifications of an AAC championship quarterback, is still in the portal.

It doesn’t have to be Navarro, whose eligibility issue is up in the air but someone like him.

We can only hope but I think Temple is done at QB. I hope I’m wrong.

We predict 6-6 without Navarro or someone like him.

With an inexperienced starter, or someone like him, I see the Owls winning 9-10 games and getting into the AAC championship game.

I have this sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach that Temple is done and going with six quarterbacks. None to me have the “it” factor with the possible exception of Lamar Best, who arrives in July.

So we’re going under the assumption that Temple is done at the quarterback position.

I see the Owls beating Rhode Island (55-10), losing to Penn State (35-14), beating Toledo (17-13), losing to Army (24-21), losing at South Florida (55-24), beating UConn (17-10), beating Charlotte (48-23), losing at East Carolina (36-19), losing at Navy (17-14), beating UAB (21-14), beating Rice (28-17) and losing at Memphis (35-21).

That’s 6-6 and the very definition of mediocrity. As Wayne Hardin once said, “mediocrity is not my cup of tea.”

Nor mine.

An experienced guy is out there. With him, I see a more competitive game against Penn State, wins at USF at home vs. Army and at Navy and a possible win at Memphis. That’s not 6-6 nor mediocrity.

Go get him or expect meh when “yeah” should have been the Year Two goal all along.

Monday: 5 Things We’d Like to See From Spring Ball

Friday: The New Bowl System and Temple

One area Owls are in good hands: Feet

While there are some concerns about gameday experience on the quarterback level, there is at least one area where the Owls are in good hands.

Feet.

With both starting kicker Carl Hardin coming back and starting punter Dante Atton as well, the Owls have plenty of gameday experience and clutch plays under their belts at least in that part of special teams.

Hardin, a redshirt junior from Raleigh, N.C., only missed three field goals–a 61-yarder at Georgia Tech, a 45-yarder at Army and a 38-yarder against Navy.

Ironically, had he hit two of those field goals in games against the service academies, the Owls would have been in a pretty nice bowl game somewhere and would have at least had a better chance to finish 7-5 in the regular season.

So even good players have things to work on but, conversely, his successful 51-yarder at Tulsa was the reason the Owls were able to pull that game out.

Hardin’s performance wasn’t a surprise to anyone who watched the Owls in practice and former kicker Maddox Trujillo told K.C. Keeler on his way out that Hardin was not only the second-best kicker on the Owls, but the second-best kicker in the entire league. Hard to argue with Maddox on those points as Hardin finished the year 11-for14 on field goals and 40 for 40 on extra points. Plus, he solved one of the most maddening problems of the Stan Drayton Era–kicking the ball out of bounds.

That used to happen multiple times a game under Drayton but last year happened only once in 2025.

As far as depth, backup kicker Lucas Glassburn–who made his only XP attempt for the Owls in 2025–hit the portal and transferred to New Hampshire, where he will be the starter and Darren Wu moves into Glassburn’s spot at Temple. Wu was Lafayette’s top kicker before transferring to Temple last season.

The punter, Atton, is even more well-known as he is the only returning first-team All-American at any position in Temple football history (not even Paul Palmer and Joe Klecko were first-team All-Americans as underclassmen). Atton pinned opponents inside the 20 a record 27 times.

If things work out the way head coach K.C. Keeler wants, the stats from both Hardin and Atton won’t be as gaudy this year as the goal is to score touchdowns, not field goals nor even punt the ball. (When E.J. Warner was quarterback in 2023, the Owls went two consecutive games without punting.)

It’s nice to know, though, the Owls can milk a clock down to 20 or so seconds in a tie game and win it on a short field goal if needed.

Friday: Now’s The Time

Monday: 5 Things We’d Like to See in Spring Ball

Solving some of the little problems with college football

Usually, in a nondescript week in February, nothing happens in college football.

This is not that week as the NCAA rules committee meets to discuss a couple of significant changes that will probably be implemented. (They’ll also discuss a few things that won’t.)

One, the targeting rule where a player from the second half of one game is penalized by sitting out the first half of the next game. That rule never made much sense since the next game could come after a bye week or even a month of bowl preparation. That begs another question, though: Is targeting only going to be enforced in the first half? That’s something the committee will have to deal with.

Me?

Get rid of any rule that involves a half and just kick a player out of the game where the infraction occurs.

That would involve some King Solomon-like judgment so we will see what happens.

The second rule likely to be addressed is the non-enforcement of wearing shorts instead of pants. That rule is in the books and hasn’t been enforced. The penalty is likely to be 15 yards. Seems to be an easy rule to follow because equipment guys can hang out only long pants.

Duh?

Unfortunately, when it comes to college football only the minor issues are addressed.

To me, the biggest impediment to fair play hasn’t been addressed and probably won’t: 1) Why the largest schools with the largest fan followings can buy a championship leaving the poorer schools behind and 2) there is no two.

Failing a return to room, board and tuition, a more equitable way of solving this problem would also be a King Solomon-type solution: Split the baby in half.

In other words, pool all of the TV money from all of the contracts and all of the leagues into one pile, give half to the schools and the other half to a fund that equally spreads the NIL money over 136 schools so that Kent State, the bottom team, has a fighting chance against Indiana, the top team. That would lift up everyone for the benefit of the college game. Yet you won’t ever get the Big 10 or the SEC to agree to that.

Until that happens, if you want to see a team win on any given day you have to wait until Sunday for the NFL. The days of G5 teams upsetting P4 teams are probably over, and we are all poorer for it.

Friday: Under construction

Biggest difference between K.C. and Adam Fisher: Clayton Barnes

Imagine a football team of all punters.

Or all running backs.

Or at least a preponderance of one “type” of player.

That’s Temple basketball right now. I see a lot of guard types and very little in the area of post players and power forwards.

Not surprisingly, that program is floundering after three straight losses in a weak basketball league.

When Al Golden applied CPR to resuscitate Temple football from the dead in 2005, he brought with him a binder. The first chapter was his philosophy of building a team back in the days when college football was pure:

“I want to sign one player at each position ever year, including a punter and a kicker,” Al said. “If you do that every year, you get to develop the depth that you need.”

Looking at Temple basketball this year, I see a lot of one “type” of player and very little roster balance.

Obviously, the philosophy of past Temple football head coach Golden and current head coach K.C. Keeler is pretty much the same in the sense that each position needs depth and position integrity should be respected.

To me, the greatest basketball team ever was the 1967-68 Sixers. The primary reason why is because it had the best player at the most important position (center, Wilt Chamberlain) and prototype players at every other position (Luke Jackson, power forward; Chet Walker, finesse forward; Hal Greer, shooting guard and Wali Jones point guard).

The perfect team with perfect balance.

Where is the Wilt “type” on this Temple basketball team? Nowhere. Nor the Jackson type. Nor the Chet Walker type or the Greer type or Jones type.

Not asking for anyone near their ability but I am asking for someone at least capable of filling those types of roles.

It appears to be a collection of misfits and the fault of that belongs to the CEO.

That’s the difference between Temple football and Temple basketball.

A common theme on twitter or other social media platforms is Temple should direct football money into basketball. To me, that’s throwing good money after bad. I don’t have much hope for the future of Temple basketball unless it takes a Temple football leadership turn, but I have plenty of hope for Temple football and that’s where the good money should go.

Temple football apparently understands that each position requires a player with a different skill set than the position next to it or the position on the other side of the ball.

To me, Fisher is a good enough coach to win four straight games in an AAC tournament but not a good enough CEO to put a capable roster together.

Keeler is both a good enough coach to win and a great CEO because he understands he can’t do it alone. To me, that the biggest difference between the two not only is experience in the winning department, but a basic knowledge in this transfer portal era that help is needed in the area of building a balanced roster to win in the modern day AAC.

That’s where Temple football GM Clayton Barnes comes into the picture.

When Keeler was hired, his first quote was that “I wouldn’t have taken this job if Clayton Barnes didn’t agree to come with me” and that quote was telling. Keeler is an old school guy willing to adjust to new school approaches and Barnes, for the most part, has those answers on the football side. Surely, there is a basketball guy out there who knows how to put a college roster together.

On the basketball side, the sooner Fisher finds a “Barnes type” will determine his future at the school.

The day K.C. Keeler beat Curt Cignetti

Buried in a covid season that forced the FCS to schedule spring ball was one of the few losses national championship Indiana head coach Curt Cignetti had in the last five years.

Buried in a covid season that forced the FCS to schedule spring ball was one of the few losses national championship Indiana head coach Curt Cignetti had in the last five years.
K.C. Keeler beat Curt Cignetti in the FCS semifinals and went on to win the natty in 2021 at SHS.

K.C. Keeler got the 2021 win, coaching his Sam Houston State team to a 38-35 triumph in a FCS playoff semifinal against Cignetti’s James Madison team despite being down, 24-3, at halftime.

That’s a lot of halftime adjustments.

What does it mean for Temple moving forward?

Keeler showed that given his ability to improvise and adjust, once he gets “his guys” here, the future is bright for the Owls.

Put it this way: Temple outscored a lot of good teams in the second half (North Texas, Georgia Tech and UTSA) but got wins in only one of them: UTSA.

That was Keeler working with Stan Drayton’s guys.

The only “Keeler guy” brought in with him was Jay Ducker, who nearly became Temple’s first 1,000-yard back since Ray Davis in 2019.

Cignetti talks with Oregon coach Dan Lanning, who was a former Keeler assistant at Sam Houston State.

Now Keeler is identifying more talent to fit what schemes he, OC Tyler Walker and DC Brian Smith want to run and some improvement from Year One to Year Two can be expected. For example, he’s brought in for the first time all of his quarterbacks and they all have a proven level of mobility at least better than last year’s starter Evan Simon. Walker always wanted to use the quarterbacks’ legs as a weapon, and he will have that option this year. He had to scale back on that part of the playbook in 2025.

If any of them display Simon’s accuracy and leadership abilities to go with that mobility, that is the guy who will win the job.

That’s really when halftime adjustments kick into play, getting your Jimmies closer in ability to their Joes and having a coach like Keeler who has matched wits with the best in the business, including Cignetti.

Ironically, Cignetti–a former Temple QB coach–could never dream during that postgame handshake five years ago that Keeler would one day work at the same school.

Maybe the next time they meet, if they ever do, they can trade 10th and Diamond and 12th and Norris War stories.

For now, though, Keeler has won the last battle and that should be impressive enough for Temple fans.

Friday: Closer to Spring Ball

Temple football makes G5 history in a good way

The headline in the Philadelphia Inquirer addressed the biggest piece of news: Roster retention.

Those of a certain age in Philadelphia sports remember the biggest literal balancing act in history, Karl Wallenda, who walked across the top of Veterans Stadium on a high wire without a net.

Temple head coach K.C. Keeler is of that certain age and now he is in charge of a figurative high-wire act that is almost as impressive, navigating a transfer portal without the net of SEC or Big 10 type money.

Maybe it wasn’t a coincidence that Temple football hasn’t done very much of anything since the transfer portal’s arrival in 2017.

That was one year after the Owls hoisted a championship trophy and the Owls struggled not only with opponents on the field but a revolving door at the $17 million Edberg Olson Practice facility.

No more.

Keeler said a lot of interesting things six days ago in his transfer portal wrap, but none more interesting than this quote: “We were one of the few G5 teams to keep our all starters.”

Hmm.

That got me thinking.

“Few?”

Nobody in the G5 keeps their starters anymore so we had to dig deep to find out if the key word was “few” or “any” and the latter turned out to be true.

A G5 team without P4 money in the era of the transfer portal is the kind of balancing act we see here.

Temple was the ONLY G5 team that kept all of its starters out of the transfer portal–with a qualifier. The starters applied to only the last game of the season and not guys who started single games before that.

Then we went over the rosters of G5 teams since 2017 and couldn’t find a single team that was able to keep all of its starters from the final game of the previous season from hitting the transfer portal.

Of course, Temple lost quite a few starters the more traditional way (graduation and expired eligibility) but, in this era of the G5 being used as a farm system for the P4, what Keeler and company have done is very impressive.

It speaks to the culture Keeler has been able to develop in a single year.

It also says something about the culture before that as Rod Carey was a “my way or the highway” guy and Stan Drayton was pretty much a fatalist when it came to losing players.

Temple could have the top TE in the country in 2026 with Peter Clarke.

Keeler tells the players to keep the main thing the main thing during the season–concentrating on winning–and that he and General Manager Clayton Barnes will figure out the side thing once the season is over. Also, Keeler gave last year’s players the kind of rope they didn’t get this year because, he said, “of the coaching change.”

Then, after the spring game, he shut the faucet off, saying that “now that the players have gotten to know me, once they enter the portal they are not coming back.”

There are exceptions to every rule and, this year, third-string quarterback Tyler Douglas was one. One he was told he didn’t fit into the QB plans, he hit the portal. At the same time, Keeler told him if he was willing to switch to WR, he would be welcome back.

Douglas came back and will battle for a WR slot. Keeler gave tight end Peter Clarke–ranked among the top 10 in the country at his position–a lot of credit in both keeping the locker room together and recruiting a few key transfer portal recruits.

Of course, roster retention on a 5-7 team is a double-edged sword, You want to keep starters and allow the backups to have other places to play all while at the same time upgrading the roster through both high school recruiting and the transfer portal.

Temple appears to have struck that balance and, in its own way, a kind of high-wire act more impressive than Wallenda’s.

Friday: Trust but Verify

Monday: A Coaching Matchup to Remember

What the Trinidad Chambliss story tells Temple fans

On the surface, Trinidad Chambliss’ story doesn’t say much about Temple football.

Underneath the surface, though, it tells everything about the future.

Why?

Because Temple did a very much un-Temple-like thing last February in offering Ferris State national Division II championship quarterback Trinidad Chambliss $300,000 to come here and compete for a starting job.

He accepted, and the Friday press conference was all set before Ole Miss swooped in with a $600,000 backup offer.

Bad news for Temple but good news for Ole Miss because he eventually earned the starting job and put his Rebels into the national semifinals.

What does it say about Temple?

It tells you that both head coach K.C. Keeler and General Manager Clayton Barnes have keen eyes for talent. There is a Trinidad Chambliss out there–whether he’s in JUCO, Division II or FCS–and the same eyes that saw the Ferris State quarterback will identify the next Temple one.

Maybe not Chambliss good. Maybe better. Maybe worse but there are no maybes about the eyes scouting that future Temple signal-caller.

“Their quarterback is just incredible,” Georgia’s Kirby Smart said.

Yeah, that’s what both Keeler and Barnes identified on the film a year ago today.

They were excited to get Chambliss and Chambliss was excited to come here before Ole Miss swooped in and got him.

Shit happens.

One team’s shit (Temple’s) is another team’s title (Ole Miss) but that doesn’t diminish the talent evaluation skills of Keeler or Barnes and that’s where Temple is at an advantage in this transfer portal season. Another thought is that Temple is so committed to winning in football that it put its money ($300,000) where its mouth was. Keeler knew that Evan Simon needed some competition and, while he whiffed on the first choice (Chambliss), he hit a solid double into the gap on his second (Gevani McCoy). If that’s not enough, here’s another Keeler/Barnes collaboration: They almost got Drew Mestemaker to commit to Sam Houston before Mestemaker decided to follow a high school teammate to North Texas.

Eye for talent indeed.

Four eyes to be exact.

They made a significant investment (roughly $100,000) in McCoy. They didn’t ask me for a contribution to cover the NIL but, if had the extra cash, I would have forked it over. That’s how much confidence I have in them.

Think about this: If Simon went down, Temple goes from 5-7 without him to 1-11 without a McCoy. If Simon goes down, and McCoy is the backup, Temple wins the same number of games.

That’s how this thing is supposed to work with a great head coach. One injury to a key player shouldn’t take out your season.

Nobody knows more than the CEO and the GM that Temple needs a Chambliss, Simon and McCoy.

Nearly getting Chambliss last year but getting thisclose means they will get someone good enough to compete for an American Conference title thisyear.

Those are the guys working the film room and that’s enough for me.

It should be for every Temple fan.

Monday: Reviewing Our Predictions

Why the death of bowls may be premature …

Since about the time Temple was caught with its pants down on an invitation to play in the Birmingham Bowl (today at 2 p.m.), the conventional thinking was these so-called minor bowls are dead.

If you put $10 on North Texas laying the 7, as I did, this hurt. Otherwise, a terrific game.

As Mark Twain once said, “Reports of my death have been premature.”

At least that’s the way I see it.

Yes, plenty of 5-7 teams joined Temple in turning down bowl invitations, but hopefully the Owls learned a lesson from the whole fiasco.

The next time the Owls are 5-7–which is hopefully a long ways away–hang by the phone and be prepared to say yes. (Long ways away meaning hopefully the Owls have winning seasons from now on…)

Lessons are to be gained by the experience.

Sort of like kicking a field goal with about 20 seconds left to beat Navy at Homecoming. But that’s was a story for another day.

Today, we celebrate the bowls because, from what I’ve seen so far, the games have been terrific and, at least from an American Conference standpoint, there haven’t been as many opt-outs as I thought might.

North Texas’ best quarterback and running back decided to participate in a 49-47 win over San Diego State.

Louisville and Toledo cared enough to get involved in a donnybrook knock/down, drag/out fight.

Hawaii coach Timmy Chang eschewed what would have been a sure field goal from the best kicker in the country (nicknamed The Tokyo Toe) despite having to use his backup quarterback on the last play of the game because the starter had to come out for one play due to an injury. All that backup did was throw a game-winning touchdown pass.

The crowd of 15,000 at Hawaii–which looked bigger because the Rainbow Warriors have an appropriate-size stadium–went crazy. By comparison, Temple had twice as many fans for Homecoming and while it was a decent atmosphere, they rattled around in a 70,000-seat stadium that was never built for college football.

ECU got absolutely screwed on an inadvertent whistle but survived to beat Pitt.

Terrific drama all around in the bowl games and those were just a few.

In my mind, much more compelling television than shows I never watch (The Batchelor, The Real Wives of Atlanta, etc.) and, because I love college football in general and G5 football in particular, I get a kick out of every time a G5 team beats a P4 one. Plus, the sports programming on ESPN next months shifts to wrestling, volleyball and the kind of bowling where you put a couple of fingers in a heavy ball and roll it down a lane to hit pins.

That’s the kind of bowling I hope goes the way of Mark Twain.

I hope the college football version sticks around for a while.

Friday: What the Chambliss story tells Temple fans

Monday (1/5): Grading Our 2025 Predictions

Friday (1/7): Is it sustainable?

Can Mason McKenzie realize Temple is the place for him?

Over a month later, Temple’s feelings about Mason McKenzie remain the same.

The Saginaw Valley quarterback has been the No. 1 recruiting transfer portal target regardless of position for K.C. Keeler’s Owls, but other suitors have squeezed in since.

Boston College fan not excited about Mason.

Notably Boston College.

Certainly, the allure of playing in a Power 4 league is something to consider but there are no doubt other considerations for Mason.

One, playing for a team who gave him (in his words) “a lot of love” and, two, quarterbacking what would certainly be a contender for the American Conference championship. It is a roster that Keeler has been largely able to keep intact and a culture that rarely exists in modern day college football–a lot of guys willing to stay and turn a 5-7 program into a championship one.

The only evidence we have for that is Keeler was able to turn a 3-9 roster into a 5-7 one in his first season, only three points from being a 7-5 one.

That all has to be weighed against competing against Miami, Clemson, and Georgia Tech on a regular basis in the AAC. That also involves getting beat up (and sacked) on a regular basis and not able to show the talent demonstrated on a weekly basis at Saginaw Valley the last couple of years.

From this perspective, not a tough choice but we will admit we’re wearing Cherry and White glasses.

Obviously, from Mason’s, it’s a tougher call because he hasn’t committed yet.

Hmm.

An offensive line that will be able to protect him enough so he can show his talent vs. a team regularly playing defensive lines that overwhelm a bottom-feeding ACC team?

That’s the decision Mason has to make the next couple of weeks.

Mason McKenzie

Another consideration is Mason has a chance to play for the winningest active Division I head coach in Keeler and that’s not an opportunity afforded for many college quarterbacks.

Also, Temple lost its top two quarterbacks (Evan Simon and Gevani McCoy) to graduation so the path to being No. 1 starter is wide open.

Mason probably had a lot of nice gifts under the tree yesterday but the one wrapped in the Cherry and White paper probably shouldn’t be ignored.

A Temple scholarship.

That trick play at the 50-second timestamp became the inspiration for the “Philly Special” according to Doug Pederson.

Monday: Rumors Premature

Season post-mortem: Good, so close to great

Plenty of good to like about K.C. Keeler’s first season as Temple head coach, so the grade has to be a Solid B.

Good, but could have been better so no A.

Refs also made a mistake in the Navy game that was just as important as Temple not kicking the field goal.

The Owls finished 5-7 and were only three knees away from 6-6 and a bowl game.

We’ve harped on this before, so won’t spend more than one or two sentences on the Navy game. Tied, 24-24, with 1:16 left and a first-and-goal from the 1, the obvious move was to take three knees and get that clock down to about 20 seconds before kicking a field goal from extra point distance to win it, 27-24.

Carl Hardin then squibs the ensuing kickoff, and Navy does the five backward passes on the kickoff that never works and somebody like Curly Ordonez falls on the ball to end the game. Then Hardin gets carried off the field, the Homecoming crowd of nearly 27,000 goes home happy and maybe a good portion of those folks come back for the final two games.

Wasn’t to be.

The worst errors are the unforced ones and that was doozy of the year. Didn’t buy Keeler’s post-game explanation that the Owls didn’t practice the kneel down and he wasn’t comfortable doing it. That was the same play the Owls executed flawlessly at the end of four of their five wins, so they must’ve practiced it. That was the difference between 6-6 and maybe playing another 6-6 team in a bowl game and getting about three weeks extra practice time for next year.

Live and learn.

Temple was 3 points away from beating three bowl teams (Navy, Army, UTSA, which they did beat) and a 7-5 record.

The one-point Army loss was hard, but easier to take than the loss to the other service academy.

Now let’s get to the good part.

They did beat a UTSA team that WILL be bowl bound and handed Charlotte a worse loss than either Tulane, North Texas or Army did.

They added a road win over Tulsa, something that the old coaching staff never did.

They upgraded the roster significantly all the while keeping every single player on scholarship who wanted to stay.

Even though they lose a record-setting quarterback in Evan Simon, they were thisclose to bringing in a Heisman Trophy candidate (Trinidad Chambliss), who was scooped up by Ole Miss the Friday he was supposed to sign at Temple.

They probably won’t find a Heisman candidate to replace him in the transfer portal this time, but they will find a QB or two good enough to win in the American Conference. Pretty sure they will upgrade the entire roster the same way, while keeping a good portion of the two-deep who do return.

At 6:46 here, Yale demonstrates the general principle of what TU should have done against Navy.

Keeler and roster-building guru Clayton Barnes built a nine-win FBS roster with fewer NIL resources at Sam Houston State than they have at Temple and probably will build a nine-win roster at Temple either next year or the year after.

All they have to do is improve to 6-7 next year and continue the upward curve.

Unlike basketball, there is reason for optimism with Temple football and the structure Keeler put in place is it.

Fairly certain there will be a better grade a dozen months from now, whether it’s a B+ or an A.

Friday: Signing Day Analysis

Monday: Room at the Top